Tuesday, June 8, 2010

2010 Ice Scoopz Mock Entry Draft: Top 15

2010 Ice Scoopz Mock Entry Draft

#1. Edmonton Oilers - Taylor Hall – LW - Windsor - OHL
ISS - 1
CS - 2 NA
HN - 1
+ Natural Goal Scorer + Hype Value
+ Big Game Player + Speed To Burn
+ Great Hockey Sense + Elusive With The Puck
- Plays On An Elite Team - Not Physical
I can’t imagine anyone in this draft passing up Taylor Hall, the hype has been tremendous since he was drafted in 2nd overall in the 2007 OHL selection draft. The Edmonton Oilers need to rekindle some excitement back into their rapidly fading franchise and a sure fire goal scorer should bring fans back into the seats. Hall has been often compared to former NHL sniper Pavel Bure due to his elite speed and ability to find the back of the net. He just has that knack for scoring and it’s almost as he can score at will. He has awesome vision and can be extremely slippery with the puck. His stickhandling and his speed make him a deadly threat every time he steps on the ice. It’s hard to find a flaw in his game because of his offensive abilities but some are saying numbers could be inflated due to his dynasty of a team the Windsor Spitfires. He also shies away from the rough stuff but who cares when he lights the lamp each and every time he touches the puck.

#2. Boston Bruins - Tyler Seguin – C – Plymouth – OHL
ISS – 2
CS – 1 NA
HN – 2
+ 2 Way Player + Makes Players Better
+ Mr. Consistency + Plays All Situations
+ Awesome Vision
- Struggles In Big Games -Struggles In The Circle

If Taylor Hall is the #1 pick in this Entry Draft then Tyler Seguin is #1B as Seguin has been battling Hall for the number one spot all season long. Ether player could go first but Hall’s performance over Seguin in the playoffs I believe cements his #1 spot. That being said whoever gets Seguin isn’t getting a lesser player in fact they might even be getting more. Tyler has incredible vision and is solid at both ends of the rink. He is extremely competent in his own end while he also knows where to be in the other end of the rink as well. His linemates benefit from his on ice presence and his incredible vision. He can do it all and do it in any given situation. The Boston Bruins easily replace Phil Kessel and upgrade at the same time with Tyler Seguin.

#3. Florida Panthers - Erik Gudbranson – D – Kingston – OHL
ISS – 7
CS – 4 NA
HN – 5
+ Mean Streak + Very Physical
+ Leadership Skills + Patient With And Without The Puck
- Slow - Not Very Offensive
While many believe that Cam Fowler is the hands down number 3 but I believe the Florida Panthers will go with toughness and grit over yet another offensive defenseman. His mean streak adds another element to his game. Erik Gudbranson’s physical play and his ability to calm things down from the backend would fit well alongside fellow Panther future star Dmitry Kulikov. The Panthers are looking to overhaul their organization and starting from the backend only makes sense. Gudbranson is the perfect cornerstone of a defense and adds that character and passion a team needs; can you saw future captain.

#4. Columbus Blue Jackets - Cam Fowler – D – Windsor – OHL
ISS – 5
CS – 5 NA
HN – 3
+ No Turnovers + Good Skater
+ Offensively Gifted
- Hard To Read Abilities - No Shot
- Very Soft
Mr. Cam Fowler is at the top of all defensemen in this draft in many organizations eyes. To me he loses a little value because he’s soft and doesn’t really have that great of a shot from the point for an offensive defenseman. He also is very hard to read as he plays on such a powerhouse of a team. Is it really him or does he have a lot of help? Looked great in the World Juniors. He still is extremely dangerous when he has the puck. Fowler has the ability to move the puck really well of just to do it himself without causing turnovers. His defensive play is pretty decent as well. A great pick fit for Columbus as they’ve struggled to find that elite defenseman to help them break out and scare opponents.

#5. New York Islanders - Nino Niederreiter – LW – Portland - WHL
ISS – 6
CS – 12 NA
HN – 8
+ Tremendous Heart + Clutch
+ Great Shot + Crafty
- Not Overly Physical For A Power Forward
Nino Niederreiter put himself on the map this World Juniors with his incredible dedication and his willingness to carry the Swiss team on his back. He was extremely timely and clutch when his team needed him. Great shooter, can score from almost anywhere on the ice. Nino is also a great shoot out specialist and that’s often overlooked but is crucial in the new NHL. The Islanders need some help for John Tavares and Nino Niderreiter would be a great addition to add alongside him. The Isles had a steal in Calvin De Haun last year and Travis Harmonic is on the way up so no need to focus on the backend as a goal scoring left winger would help out greatly.

#6. Tampa Bay Lightning - Alexander Burmistrov – C – Barrie – OHL
ISS – 14
CS - 11 NA
HN – 6
+ Tricky Hands + Good Vision
+ 2 Way + Faceoff Specialist
- Very Small - Not Physical At All
- “Russian Factor?
Alexander Burmistrov is a player I’ve managed to watch over and over this season and he has impressed me. He works hard every shift and doesn’t take too many shifts off. He has great vision and is quite possibly the best stick handler in this draft. He has a bag full of dekes than many NHLer’s wouldn’t be able to pull off. He also is a great faceoff guy who can play in every situation making him even more deadly. The only downside is that Burmistrov is extremely small at 157 lbs causing him to shy away from the dirty work and anything physical. I don’t believe there is the “Russian Factor” here as he played in the O but I’m sure some teams will still be cautious in the KHL era. The Tampa Bay Lightning will go with the best player available and Burmistrov has the least flags and will fill a future void at center once Vincent Lecavalier moves on.

#7. Carolina Hurricanes - Brett Connolly – RW – Prince George – WHL
ISS – 13
CS – 3 NA
HN – 4
+ Threat Every Shift + Pure Sniper
+ Hockey IQ
- Injury Prone - Liable In His Own End
Brett Connolly had a rough year this season but still hasn’t seen his stock drop that much. It really shows how much goal scoring means to NHL clubs. Connolly fits that mold to a tee, an offensive threat that can score at will when he has the puck. He dominated offensively as a rookie in a defense first minded league. On the other hand Connolly follows the old saying what you see is what you get. Strictly offense. Connolly suffered multiple hip flexor injuries this season and missed all but 16 games this season leading many teams’ medical scouts doubting his fitness and ability to resist injury. The Carolina Hurricanes won’t mind as they are in the middle of a rebuild and could use any offense possible. The Canes have had great success with Western League kids of late.

#8. Atlanta Thrashers - Brandon Gormley – D – Moncton - QMJHL
ISS – 3
CS – 6 NA
HN – 7
+ All Round + Great Mobility
+ Solid Defensively
- Not Physical
Many view Brandon Gormley as the safest pick out of this years crop of defenseman because Gormley is steady and reliable in both ends and is above average in all categories except a few. His main strength relies on his skating and his mobility. He can easily join the rush or stay at home and defend. While he doesn’t excel at one particular skill he remains all round defenseman and everything he does is well above average. The main criticism of his game is that he’s not very physical and doesn’t stand out in the crowd. The Atlanta Thrashers need a stable presence on the backend that can play at both ends of the rink. The Thrashers have one extreme or the other on the point and Gormley would solidify this young and growing team. Think Los Angeles in a few more seasons if they continue to progress.

#9. Minnesota Wild - Ryan Johansen – C – Portland - WHL
ISS – 8
CS – 10 NA
HN – 12
+ Hockey Smarts + Eager To Please
+ Room Left To Develop + All Situations
- Needs To Get Stronger - Soft
- Plays On A Strong Line
There are not many prospects in this draft with the ceiling potential that Ryan Johansen has, as he’s extremely underdeveloped. After an average Junior A season he came on the to CHL scene and catapulted himself into the high first round. Johansen did play with good linemates in Brad Ross and Nino Niederreiter so there will always be that question mark. That aside he is a talented centerman who plays a smart offensive game and has an underrated defensive side. He is a bit soft and needs to put on a bit of weight but more than makes up for it in his willingness and ability to play any role. Minnesota really needs that offensive catalyst and a future center to line up behind Mikko Koivu. He’s a great fit in the Minnesota system. Best case scenario the Wild get a number one center, worst case scenario they get a smart 3rd line center with an offensive touch. Win-win.

#10. New York Rangers - Vladimir Tarasenko- RW – Novosibirsk – KHL
ISS – 4
CS – 2 INT
HN – 14
+ Lightning Quick + Good Vision
+ Good Hands
- Defensive Zone Coverage - “Russian Factor”
Vladimir Tarasenko could be the overall most skilled player in this draft. He also has speed to burn and can hit that extra gear on command. Not an overly big player but is in good physical condition and doesn’t mind the rough stuff unlike most European offensive talents. Should go a lot higher but the new era with the “Russian Factor” scare should drop his stock quite a bit. The New York Rangers have had good luck bringing European players over and have several connections inside the KHL. Could be a gamble but could also be a huge pay day if they can convince him to play in North America.

#11. Dallas Stars - Mikael Granlund – C/W – HIFK – SM LIIGA
ISS – 17
CS – 1 INT
HN – 10
+ NHL Ready + Elite Playmaker
+ Shifty With Puck + Powerplay Specialist
- Small - Not Physical
- Slow Footed
Finland is in need of an elite prospect to help replace many of their aging stars such as Teemu Selanne and Saku Koivu. Theres no better prospect than Finnish sensation Mikael Granlund. He and his linemate Teemu Pulkkinen have drawn many comparassons to Selanne and Koivu. Just like Saku, Granlund is undersized for a center but makes up for it with talent and passion for the game. Sound familiar? Granlund is probably the best playmaker or atleast in the top 2 of this draft. He can single handedly control a game. Playing in the SM Liiga has helped his development playing with grown men. The Dallas Stars would love to add some offense and have lots of experience with Finnish players. The fact that he is almost NHL ready helps the Stars decesion greatly.

#12. Anaheim Ducks - Nick Bjugstad – C – Blaine – US High
ISS – 12
CS – 14 NA
HN – 17
+ Big And Physical + Lethal Shot
+ Pass First Player
- Playing In Weak League - Incosistent
- Needs Defensive Polish
It’s always hard to gauge a player playing in the US High School system because you never know how their game is going to translate when move up to the next level. Nick Bjudstad is the perfect example. He on most nights dominates but on others he’s a no show so it’s hard to predict what will happen when the competition gets harder. Bjugstad has all of the tools to suceed but the question is can he at the next level. He’s a big bodied center with great physical strength and has a very lethal shot. He can be the difference maker on most nights but needs to work on his consistency. The Anaheim Ducks are looking for their next big center and with two picks in the first round the Ducks can take a risk on Bjugstad and hope he develops into a big time center.

#13. Phoenix Coyotes (CAL) - Austin Watson –RW – Moose Jaw – WHL
ISS – 18
CS – 8 NA
HN – 15
+ Future Captain + Willing To Play Any Role
+ Gritty + Great Hockey IQ
- No Shot - Not Strong Enough Yet
The Phoenix Coyotes have a long list of topend talent coming out of the system but still are struggling to find themselves blue chip scoring wingers and character players. Austin Watson may be able to kill both needs with one stone so to speak. Watson is a coachs dream as he does whatever is asked of him and can play any role needed of him as well. While playing with the Windor Spitfires he struggled to get top 6 minutes so he was forced into a 4th line role but when traded to Peterborough he was asked to fill a number 1 role and caught fire. He’s tough and isn’t afraid to do the dirtywork that’s need to score. He can play in all situations and has hockey smarts most players would kill for. He knows when and where to be a all times. His only downside is that he has an extremely weak shot for an offensive force and also struggles when playing againsts big teams.

#14. St. Louis Blues - Jack Campbell – G – US U18 – NTDP
ISS – 1
CS – 2 NA G
HN – 13
+ Mentally Mature + Physical Specimin
+ Nerves Of Steal
- Big Ego - Character Issues?
Many Canadians remember and loath Jack Campbell for his dominating performance at the World Juniors but the fact of the matter is Campbell is a solid goalie who doesn’t buckle under pressure, after all he came off the bench cold and manage to win a gold medal. He’s got nerves of steal and is mature beyond his years. Many scouts compare him to Carey Price mentally. He has the ability to steal games and is a good team first guy. Jack Campbell is also in top physical shape and his fitness levels are through the roof. Some have questioned his character after bailing on the University of Michigan for a powerhouse Windsor squad but that should only help his development. The St. Louis Blues would love to get their hands on a franchise goalie to continue their progress and keep moving forward.

#15. Boston Bruins - John McFarland –LW/C– Sudbury – OHL
ISS – 39
CS – 15 NA
HN – 20
+ Top End Talent + Major League Shot
- Selfish - Bad Additude
- Poor Work Ethic John McFarland is an intriging prospect as he once was highly touted and expected to go in the top 5 but now he continues to slip down the rankings and could possibly be a 2nd round pick now. The reason for the slip is because of some of his character flaws such as his lack of commitment to his team and his lack of effort most nights. Many believe this lack of effort is due to him not wanting to be in Sudbury with the Wolves and would be a different story if he were on a contender. Theres no doubt McFarland has incredible talent but only he decides when he wants to use it. He’s got an incredible release to go with his NHL calibre shot and he knows how to use his frame in traffic. He also has good hockey IQ but he struggles to find or use his teamates. The Boston Bruins have 2 top half first round draft picks so their able to take a gamble on the enigmatic McFarland. With some good coaching, tough love and maturing they might be able to steal a gem.

14 comments:

Tom said...

Scoopz..... wheres the Kooze?

Also, I dont know that I would roll the dice on McFarland. Hes got a bit of the Benoit Pouliot syndrome, another former Wolf; flat OHL production among other things. I like to see continuous improvement from a prospect, and this guy seems to be a longshot to make a big impact. Talent alone obviously only goes so far...

Jalen said...

Scoopz,

I'm glad to see you haven't fallen for that Central Scouting nonsense that has Seguin over Hall....

A couple of quick comments:

- I think the Panthers will take Fowler at #3 as the smooth skating replacement to JBo they need. I really like Gudrandson, but I have Fowler a little ahead.

- I'll be surprised if Burmistrov goes as high as #6, I think TBay will take a dman, and Gormley is a solid choice, although I personally like Connolly in that slot, too

- I'm very surprised you don't see Jeff Skinner going in the top 15...I'd love for you to be right and see the Sens take him at #16

Finally, congrats to the 'Hawks, I'm happy to see Toews, Keith and Seabrook win a 'Cup, although I'm disappointed it ended on such a lousy goal by Kane. My prediction of the winner was wrong, but I thought Giroux was the best player on either team that series.

- Jalen

Anonymous said...

Agreed Jalen, Yzerman is definitely picking a D-man for Tampa Bay. I expect Brandon Gormley to be Yzerman's pick in the #6 spot. It would be a foolish first-year GM move to take a any Russian in the top 10. Like it or not, Scoopz, but the Russian factor is there. Filatov was supposed to be a safe pick, and how's he doing in Columbus lately? Same with Ruslan Bashkirov, who played junior with Quebec, but he turned tail as well.

A first round pick is a huge investment for a hockey team (really one of the riskiest investments possible if you consider these teams are businesses). Why would you take the chance on losing everything? At #6 Tampa can draft a quality D-man to anchor their team for years to come. And with a tight cap situation, they can probably take their time developing him while Ohlund, St. Louis and Lecavalier wind down their careers (or in Vinny's case: entertain trade offers to shed his cap room).

I don't even think the KHL is really to blame: I just think the Russians have the hardest time adjusting to the North American life. Russia was a very different place 20 years ago, the polarizing opposite of the United States. Since the fall of the Soviet Union, the country has been gradually changing, but is still quite a bit more different than the Scandanavian countries.

Jalen, I like your idea of 70 goal scorers coming to the Sens. I look at the top 20 prospects with quite a bit of enthusiasm. I also really like Johansen, Etem, Granlund, Toffoli and Bjugstad, and would be psyched if the Sens got any of them. Seeing how they have the relatively high draft spot of 16th, it stands to reason that at least one of those guys will still be around. We'll see.
CA

Scoopz said...

The Kuz has too much doubt for the top 15 thanks in part to his homeland. He is already getting offered big money to stay at home. I have him in the bottom 15 though.

McFarland is an interesting case. He is a top end talent with bad attitude hence him not wanting to try for the Wolves. I feel a team looking for forward depth will take a risk if they have a 2nd pick. With Boston getting Seguin why not roll the dice and get 2 big league players. He just needs to be broken down and rebuilt. A little tough love and he'll be a different player.

Jalen totally agree on the Claude Giroux being the best player comment he was a force. I love his game.

As for Fowler I'm not sold on him at all. He plays on a really good team who has a deep list of forwards. Fowler is too soft for the Jackets. Gudbransen brings solid defense, decent offense and toughness while Fowler can only offer one.

Burmistrov I agree is going too high but I think based on the Bolts needs it fits. The Bolts have several dman on the way up and several longterm contracts. Unless they can get an offensive force they should look to shore up the center position or find another player to play with Stamkos. I can't get them going for another d unless its a Fowler type player.

Adrian Banks said...

Don't forget that some of Yzerman's best years were played alongside Sergei Federov, Igor Larionov and Nicklas Lidstrom.

Don't be surprised if he grabs a COUPLE Russians in this years draft.
I'm not saying its a lock for him to take a Russian but if he has a Russian as BPA I think he'll grab him.

Anonymous said...

Lidstrom is a Swede Adrian.
CA

Adrian Banks said...

Lol I'm not that retarded Cody. I tend to group Russians and Swedes together as they each have fairly strong leagues in their respective countries. They each have a home base in which to "retreat"

Anonymous said...

This isn't capture the flag, and Swedes aren't Russians. Much higher prospect retention rate. Impression that Swedes are less alienated by the North American way of life. And I've seen Karlsson's girlfriend, Swede babes are way hotter.
CA

Adrian Banks said...

Cody, you must have never been very good at capture the flag if one of your primary strategies was to "retreat". Not sure how that's even possible in capture the flag... Never-the-less, I would argue that there are definitely a lot more Swedes being "retained" by their clubs, but there are also a lot more Swedes being drafted to begin with. I can only really think of one prospect who has screwed over the team that drafted them... and that was Radulov. I don't consider Filatov a screw job, he just wants to play in a better league than the AHL. He'll get his chance in the NHL, hopefully with Ottawa.

Anonymous said...

Adrian,
You obviously never got far enough to capture the other teams flag then, since everyone knows you have to retreat back to your own end once said flag has been captured.

Regardless, you obviously have never heard of Ruslan Bashkirov, Alexander Nikulin, Ilya Zubov, Sergei Fedorov, Viktor Tikhonov, Stanislav Chistov, Alexander Perezhogin, Nikita Alexeev, Konstantin Koltsov or Kyrill Petrov. Sometimes abandoning a contract isn't the only way to give up on your club. Some of these guys were counted on with high draft picks to support the teams that drafted them but stuck up their noses and went back on their word. So they don't want to play in the AHL for a season or two? Why not? Spezza, Staal, Cammalleri, Backlund, Kronwall, all had multiple AHL seasons and they dealt with it. Just because Russians can threaten to go back home shouldn't give them a free ride to the show. That's why I'd never draft one with a high first.

Btw apparently Kabanov's Dad is a jerk.

CA

Jalen said...

Adrian,

I strongly object to your statement that Yzerman had some of his best years playing alongside Larionov and Federov.

Let's be perfectly clear - they had their best years playing alongside a great Canadian and one of the five best to have ever played the game, Stevie Y.

Finally, capture the flag is a game for sissies and socially underdeveloped adolescents.

- Jalen

Anonymous said...

Agreed Jalen, Larionov and fedorov were never the same on other teams without Stevie Y... Truly one of the greats.

And you're right again about capture the flag, perfect game for Russians.

CA

Scoopz said...

The Filatov situation is hard to aply here as he was loaned as well as Tikinov. The coaching situation was way too hard on Filatov's style so instead of him toiling away unhappy in the AHL he was loaned to the KHL where he felt more at home. That being said though he NOW has connections back to the KHL and there will allways be that link.

Burmistrov is a safe bet not to return to the KHL unless a similiar situation arises. I've watched this kid the most out of all of the 1st round prospects this year and he is solid. He has no National ties, he left major offers in Russia to play for scraps in the CHL. I just think that the Bolts arn't going to keep restocking D when they already have a enough D and nothing in the pipe for centers behind Stamkos. Meszaros, Hedman, Lashoff and Foster should be the core for a while. Mihalik will play a depth shutdown role and Wishart, Barberio, plus Quick all have an outside chance at making the squad. This draft is loaded with defenseman why not take a chance with a second rounder on Jarred Tinordi, Danny Biega, Brock Beukeboom or even Alex Petrovic if he slips. Outside of the first round there isn't many sure fire centers. Burmistrov is too talented to pass up but they may. I know many teams believe in building from defense up and Yzerman may fall into that situation. I'm just saying that me being in each of the teams shoes that I predicted that is the move I'd make based on their situation, prospect depth, team needs and draft position.

As for capture the flag who even plays capture the flag to begin with?

Wasn't Gerard Gallant and Dino Ciccerelli or Brendan Shannahan Yzerman's best linemates? I'm also pretty sure that Fedorov mostly played with Slava Kozlov on the left and ether Dino or Ray Sheppard or the right? They both were great Detroit centers and both hall of famers in my mind.

Adrian Banks said...

If anyone is interested, here is a translated interview with Nikulin explaning his decision to return to Russia last season and his feelings about bouncing around the AHL/NHL.

Post #1188

http://hfboards.com/showthread.php?t=446867&page=48